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You are at:Home » Bitcoin Could Hit $200,000 by Mid-2025, Says Bitfinex Report
Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Could Hit $200,000 by Mid-2025, Says Bitfinex Report

Institutional demand and ETFs drive BTC's bull cycle, but volatility looms in 2025.
Ravi KumarBy Ravi KumarDecember 17, 2024Updated:December 17, 2024No Comments3 Mins Read
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Bitcoin Could Hit $200,000 by Mid-2025
Bitcoin Could Hit $200,000 by Mid-2025
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Bitcoin could surge to $200,000 by mid-2025 under favorable conditions, according to the latest Bitfinex Alpha report. The analysis highlights a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, driven by strong institutional inflows and the growing influence of spot Bitcoin ETFs.

ETFs Dominate 2024 Bitcoin Market

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have emerged as a dominant force in BTC markets this year, holding over 1.13 million BTC and fueling cumulative inflows of approximately $35.5 billion. This influx has not only provided price stability but also reflects the rising appetite for Bitcoin among institutional investors.

Bitfinex’s report places the current market cycle mid-phase, a position consistent with historical patterns following Bitcoin’s April 2024 halving.

Data indicates the market is likely to peak around Q3 to Q4 2025 — approximately 450 days post-halving — a timeline that aligns with previous Bitcoin bull markets.

Price Targets and Metrics

The report projects minimum price targets of $145,000 by mid-2025, with a potential stretch to $200,000 under optimal market conditions.

Price models like the Pi Cycle Top and 4-Year Moving Average suggest cycle highs between $145,000 and $189,000.

As of today, Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,368, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Metrics such as Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL), and the Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator signal that Bitcoin remains firmly in its bull phase. However, Bitfinex notes the market is still far from the euphoric peaks seen in prior cycles, with diminishing returns tempering explosive gains.

Volatility and Halving Effects

While the broader outlook remains optimistic, the report warns of potential volatility, particularly in Q1 2025. Yet, any corrections are expected to be mild, supported by strong institutional demand and consistent ETF inflows.

Historically, post-halving years have delivered Bitcoin’s most significant rallies. The April 2024 halving — which cut Bitcoin’s block reward in half — has already set the stage for this cycle’s upward trajectory.

Institutional Demand and the Future of BTC

“Institutional adoption and Bitcoin’s increasing prominence as a global asset are shaping this bull market,” the report notes. Spot accumulation, combined with Bitcoin’s emerging role as a store of value, suggests sustained price appreciation into 2025.

While volatility remains part of the Bitcoin landscape, Bitfinex believes that institutional inflows will act as a stabilizing force, mitigating severe corrections and supporting further highs.

With ETFs cementing their influence and institutional demand surging, Bitcoin’s path to $200,000 remains a possibility, albeit one tempered by volatility and diminishing returns.

Read Also: How To Avoid Risks When Taking Out Crypto Loans

Disclaimer: The information provided on AlexaBlockchain is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, including but not limited to ICOs, IDOs, presales, and other token offerings, carry significant risk. You are solely responsible for conducting thorough research (DYOR) and exercising due diligence before making any financial commitments. It is strongly recommended that you seek professional financial advice before making investment decisions. Read complete disclaimer here.

Image Credits: Unsplash, Shutterstock, Getty Images, Pixabay, Pexels

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Ravi Kumar
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Ravi is Founder and Chief Content Officer of AlexaBlockchain. He writes about everything at the cross-section of blockchain, crypto, AI, markets, and the economy. Ravi can be reached at ravi@alexablockchain.com

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